the problem with trying to judge the two is that they are different
one is real the other is a product not worth anything inless you want it.
if you want to buy real estate and speculate that the price will go up then thats great. this takes years right?
the price of oil is based on next month sept 08 is over and we are in to oct 08
when you buy oil futures you only need 6% down to buy this make it easy to hedge your bet. and you can hold it for one day and then sell it.
1,000 barrels of oil at 125. 00 dollars this costs 125,000. 00
you need 7,500 dollars to hold that till delivery.
sell it the next day at 145. 00 and you just made 20,000 dollars 5 times in a week and you made 100,000 sure it's extream but and a zero or two behind those numbers and this looks pretty good.
you never had it or anything its still in the ground.
supply and demand works but greed enters the problem and as the USA becomes a poor country as we have set most of our money to ?????? China and the middle east supply and demand has nothing to do with it.
we cut back on driving and the price goes up a storm that shuts down a oil field in texas prices go up a small fire in Billings at Exxon the price goes up.
Go ahead put some one different in the White House I bet you the price will go up.
make the speculators pay for what they bought the day they bought it and watch the price drop.
The reason land will hold its worth is they dont make it any more, oil is not in short supply it just harder to find.