The sky-high price of diesel and the rest is due to 3 things:
1. Speculators (investors) who know the easy pickin's for crude oil are developed and its not easy to bring more capacity on-line. Its being done, but it takes time and money. In the mean time they are showing a bit of panic and buying at any price. I hope it blows up in their face, but I'm afraid it won't.
2. Demand. It just keeps rising. Both here and abroad. Especial in the far East, Asia, and India. China is exploding and demand it rising daily there. They have oil reserves too, but not as well developed. Some day though... And India. All those out-sourced jobs are putting money in their pockets and development and demand from India is likewise rising. And as far as diesel goes, I read recently that the demand for diesel is rising something like 5 or 10 percent per year (notice all the PS, Duramaxs, CTD out there these days, and VW diesels, and big rigs - every 5th vehicle on the freeway is a big rig - sorry guys, I know that's a sore spot for "drivers"). But refining capacity is only increasing by about 2 to 5 percent per year (can't remember the exact numbers, but the refining increases are way lower than demand increases). Rbattelle thinks it makes sense to sit on what you've got cuz demand will fall off due to the hybrids and such. I don't think that's going to happen for a long time. The demand is going to out-run the alternatives. What business man in his right mind would sit on one store making a huge profit when, IF he could open another one, he'd double his income?
3. Refining capacity. Sorta covered that above. But no one is building refineries in the US. Nobody wants them around. Not cost effective to build them way out in the boonies, gotta be where you can get oil to them and pipe end-product out and get workers to run them. Plus, they take years to build. Yeah, government regs are a big part of it too. In fact, in the last 10 or 20 years the number of refineries in the country has been cut in something like half due to shut-downs. So the only option is to build them in another country. So be prepared to start getting your diesel and gasoline SHIPPED into the US one of these days, not just the crude.
One more thing: as to the issue of what the companies (oil or refiners) are doing with the windfall. I have a cousin who is chemical engineer for Chevron. He works directly on increasing crude extraction capability. He says Chevron is dumping every dime it's making back into increasing capacity. There's too much money to be made on doing that rather than just hoard the profits at the current rate.
So, what's the options? I hope speculators get burned and the frenzy dies down, but I dought that will happen. But then, back in '99 anything dot-com was a sure hit, right? Oil extraction improves. They're working on it, really. If things would stabilze in Iraq and the things would change in Venezuella (yeah, political turmoil there has restricted things and they are a big producer), that would help ease the supply concerns. But I don't know what will happen with refineries. Even if they started 25 more tomorrow, they wouldn't be producing for something like 5 years.
Anyway, that just my perspective and useless opinion (except the part from my cousin) at 10:30 at night.
See you tomorrow,
-Jay