Would I be crazy to change out this conventional oil at around 4-5k miles before we head to the Smokey mountains with the camper in Mid-July?
No. Synthetic oil has one advantage over conventional oil and that is a higher heat tolerance before it, the oil, fails and you scuff a piston. Extreme example of known oil failures piston scuffing is, but, a turbo is really hard on oil. Your engine may never see these conditions even loaded, pulling grades, in the hot summer. When the SHTF from a hose failure or other abnormal situation clearly it has an extra margin. Tuners/Hot Rodding change the equation. Synthetic may not be worth the cost to you in your use conditions.
On the flip side fleet managers run the cheaper conventional oil and they want the most miles out of that oil so the conventional Shell oil is tailored for fleet use more than the synthetic offering of theirs per the TDR article. (An article i wish they would expand on showing oil at the end of it's life, how it did, and what fleet managers consider failed oil.)
UOA as you already know is an excellent way to tell if you are pushing your oil to failure. For example if soot is low and the oil is stepping out of grade thicker you are likely overheating conventional oil. (Assuming a normal oil change interval mileage.) You don't need to wait for an oil change to do a UOA. Do one before you hit the mountain grades. Then do a UOA after you have gone through them to make sure your oil handled it. Now that's peace of mind!
Peace of mind by just changing the oil, NO! You can dump out early signs of antifreeze, fuel dilution, dust, abnormal wear, oil used up early, etc in the oil and be all happy you just wasted $100 on an oil change. You can be failing the conventional oil and not changing it soon enough or correcting the problem like a leak in the intake letting dirt in or running the tuner too hot on grades. Not saying you have a tuner as other problems can show up. Even without a tuner I have ruined conventional oil in other diesels.
At the end of the day the legendary million mile engine still has a flat tappet camshaft that really likes modern EPA neutered oil to be in good shape. This factor makes the conventional oil with it's higher numbers have an advantage over synthetic.

Yes, my local shop showed me some UGLY worn abused Cummins camshafts.
One final thought. Modern oil is pretty tough. However it's more important to run good filters (air/oil/fuel) and know who makes your filters esp. after the Orange Can of Death, aka The FRAM group, bought out so many brands. I go so far as to cut filters open after use and have discovered media failure defects where a t-shirt stuffed into the filter can would do just as good. Oil filters have a limited life and may not make the 15K interval. Tear-o-lators are good to about 3000 miles before media failure that they claim is not an option, apparently it's standard. Air filters also can experience media and gasket failures.