Most of the time we are quite rosey. But, it is hard to have patience when people are dying.
Duh, lets attack Iraq! Duh, what do do with it now? Brilliant strategy!
September 24, 2003
Finding a New Path in Iraq
n the surface, President Bush's speech to the United Nations yesterday seemed a Panglossian report on how well things are going in Iraq with little to draw the broad international assistance he desperately needs. But behind this, there is something closer to a consensus on the goals for Iraq's future. The international community, Mr. Bush and his allies all want to see the Iraqis become self-governing as soon as possible and to take over their own security operations. There also seems to be agreement that the United States should remain in command of military operations. This is a good starting point.
But there remain substantial differences over how to achieve Iraqi sovereignty. France wants to give power to the Iraqi Governing Council more or less immediately and then let the United Nations sort things out. Mr. Bush wants the handover to be from the United States, and not for at least a year.
Mr. Bush is right to worry that the French timetable is so quick that it could be a recipe for a hasty and irresponsible retreat. But the United Nations must be brought in to take over the political transformation in return for real help in reconstruction and security.
In the interim, the United States should remain in control of the military situation. No other power or international force is capable of doing the job. But the more the forces in Iraq take on a multinational character, the less the transition is likely to founder on the considerable anti-American hostility within the country. Even President Jacques Chirac of France called on the Security Council yesterday to give its blessing to the presence of an international military presence in Iraq — under command of what he called "the main troop contributor," meaning the United States.
The political side is more complicated. The United States has set up a 25-member Governing Council that does a good job of representing the various ethnic, religious and political forces within Iraq, although it has no mandate from the people. The French are pushing for an agreement to turn over power to run the country to the council in a very short period of time, under some sort of United Nations supervision.
The problem with the French timetable is that there is no sign that the Governing Council has really learned to work together, or that it has identified a natural leader. The French may well argue that the American plan is too slow to force the council to rise to the challenge. But their current plan looks too much like a scenario for an abrupt retreat from the responsibilities that Washington and its allies took on when they invaded Iraq. Without a real civil administration and the beginnings of a military and police force, giving any Iraqi body sovereignty would be a largely symbolic — and potentially destructive — gesture.
That does not mean it makes sense for the United States to continue to have sole ownership of the political power in Iraq. Mr. Bush said in yesterday's speech that the United States invaded Iraq in part to defend the credibility of the United Nations. If we are to take him at his word, then he should continue that effort by allowing the world body to assume responsibility for the civilian nation-building process.
Unfortunately, Mr. Bush's speech did not grapple with these issues. His address seemed aimed more at a domestic audience than the world community, given how sunny a picture he painted of a situation in which the administration is finding almost nothing as easy as it had hoped.
The United States clearly fears that if the United Nations takes over the job, it will make a mess of things. We are in a mess already. What's needed now is an international plan for dealing with it.
Duh, lets attack Iraq! Duh, what do do with it now? Brilliant strategy!
September 24, 2003
Finding a New Path in Iraq
n the surface, President Bush's speech to the United Nations yesterday seemed a Panglossian report on how well things are going in Iraq with little to draw the broad international assistance he desperately needs. But behind this, there is something closer to a consensus on the goals for Iraq's future. The international community, Mr. Bush and his allies all want to see the Iraqis become self-governing as soon as possible and to take over their own security operations. There also seems to be agreement that the United States should remain in command of military operations. This is a good starting point.
But there remain substantial differences over how to achieve Iraqi sovereignty. France wants to give power to the Iraqi Governing Council more or less immediately and then let the United Nations sort things out. Mr. Bush wants the handover to be from the United States, and not for at least a year.
Mr. Bush is right to worry that the French timetable is so quick that it could be a recipe for a hasty and irresponsible retreat. But the United Nations must be brought in to take over the political transformation in return for real help in reconstruction and security.
In the interim, the United States should remain in control of the military situation. No other power or international force is capable of doing the job. But the more the forces in Iraq take on a multinational character, the less the transition is likely to founder on the considerable anti-American hostility within the country. Even President Jacques Chirac of France called on the Security Council yesterday to give its blessing to the presence of an international military presence in Iraq — under command of what he called "the main troop contributor," meaning the United States.
The political side is more complicated. The United States has set up a 25-member Governing Council that does a good job of representing the various ethnic, religious and political forces within Iraq, although it has no mandate from the people. The French are pushing for an agreement to turn over power to run the country to the council in a very short period of time, under some sort of United Nations supervision.
The problem with the French timetable is that there is no sign that the Governing Council has really learned to work together, or that it has identified a natural leader. The French may well argue that the American plan is too slow to force the council to rise to the challenge. But their current plan looks too much like a scenario for an abrupt retreat from the responsibilities that Washington and its allies took on when they invaded Iraq. Without a real civil administration and the beginnings of a military and police force, giving any Iraqi body sovereignty would be a largely symbolic — and potentially destructive — gesture.
That does not mean it makes sense for the United States to continue to have sole ownership of the political power in Iraq. Mr. Bush said in yesterday's speech that the United States invaded Iraq in part to defend the credibility of the United Nations. If we are to take him at his word, then he should continue that effort by allowing the world body to assume responsibility for the civilian nation-building process.
Unfortunately, Mr. Bush's speech did not grapple with these issues. His address seemed aimed more at a domestic audience than the world community, given how sunny a picture he painted of a situation in which the administration is finding almost nothing as easy as it had hoped.
The United States clearly fears that if the United Nations takes over the job, it will make a mess of things. We are in a mess already. What's needed now is an international plan for dealing with it.