TDRComm
Staff Member
DISRESPECTFUL AND DEROGATORY REMARKS REVISITED
Yep, in the preceding $1.675-billion articles and discussion, I may have been a bit too disrespectful and derogatory towards Cummins.
As I look back at Issue 121 and 120 and the book reviews of the Volkswagen emissions scandal, “Faster, Higher, Farther,” it is clear to me that there was intent on the part of VW to cheat the emissions rules.
Do I think it was Cummins’ intent to bypass the rules? Nope, I really don’t.
Official Statement from California Air Resources Board (CARB)
On January 10, 2024the CARB folks released their version of the EPA’s “16 Frequently Asked Questions” with their own list of 20 FAQs.
Here are some interesting-to-note items from their document.
- The population of trucks involved from the 2013-2023 model year Ram 2500-3500 trucks is close to 1 million (960,000) with approximately 97,000 (almost 10%) registered in California.
- What did Cummins do? The CARB response: “The emission control software contained an alleged defeat device that was designed to control emissions during certification but illegally reduced the effectiveness of the emission control during real world on-road driving."
- ”How did the EPA and CARB discover the violations? When? “The EPA discovered inconsistent emissions behavior in these vehicles through testing at the National Vehicle and Fuel Emissions Laboratory (NVFEL). The testing raised questions about whether emissions were being adequately controlled in normal driving conditions. EPA initially identified alleged defeat devices in the model year 2019 diesel Ram 2500 and 3500 diesel vehicles, and that discovery led to further questions. “The EPA began performing this specific type of testing after the September 2015 Volkswagen diesel emissions scandal and announced that going forward it would perform additional testing ‘using driving cycles and conditions that may reasonably be expected to be encountered in normal operation and use, for the purposes of investigating a potential defeat device.’”
- The repair for the problem? The CARB response: “Cummins has already developed a software repair for this issue for the affected vehicles. CARB and the US EPA have approved the repair. Cummins through Fiat Chrysler have already issued a recall referred to as campaign 67A.” The repair/reflash is done at no charge to the customer.
- Do I have to get the repair to pass a California smog check or to register my vehicle? The CARB response: “No.” I find this difficult to believe. Likewise, I find it difficult to believe that a dealership would not automatically do the 67A recall if, say, you just went in for an oil change.
- Your warranty remains in effect.
- Fuel mileage. The CARB response: “The repairs are not expected to impact fuel economy, vehicle durability, or operation. Fiat Chrysler’s or Cummins’ letter informing owners/lessees of the availability of a repair for effected vehicles will describe any anticipated impacts of the repair, if any.” Again, I find this difficult to believe.
- What does the repair include? “The repair includes only what is approved by the US EPA and CARB, which in this case is a software update to the engine control module. After completing the repair, the vehicle identification number is submitted to US EPA and CARB to report that the vehicle has been repaired.”
- Vehicle buyback? “Vehicle buyback is not part of the settlement in this case.”
More Reflections from “The Big Picture: Issue 120, page 29”
Okay, you’ve read the preceding and “Disrespectful and Derogatory Remarks Revisited,” let’s take a minute to look further at the $1.675-billion fine by the EPA.
The preceding “Big Picture; Issue 120, page 29,” text gave you some insight into the 1998 $1-billion diesel emissions fine by the EPA that was imposed on six different heavy-duty diesel manufacturers.
Twenty-five years ago, I was there. Let’s reread the summary: “In retrospect, the $1-billion fine was a mere slap on the hand. (Yep, $1-billion was divided by six entities. There were vague financial rules about this-and-that being dedicated to research and development.) Again, folklore has it that the EPA was understanding of the drive-cycle conditions/adjustments that the truck engine OEMs were making. (NOx controls ‘on’ in city driving cycles, ‘off’ on steady state highway conditions.) Likely we will never know the rest of the story.”
Now, ask yourself, “How is it that six manufacturers misinterpreted the EPA’s rule set?
I suggest to you (based on data I have from back in the day) that the 1998 fiasco involved “moving targets” by the EPA and a series of six misunderstandings. Perhaps a different political “appointee or official” had to make their mark and at the eleventh-hour he/she/group did not agree with the “‘on’ in city, ‘off’ in steady state highway conditions.” Obviously, the six manufacturers interpreted the agreement differently. An interesting concept to think about, yes, no?
CUMMINS - ALL BY MYSELF
The Lyrics
Which version of this song "All By Myself" do you like better? The original 1977 version written and sung by Eric Carmen that peaked at Number 2 on the Billboard Adult Contemporary chart. Or, the 1997 version sung by Celine Dion that was Number 1 on the Billboard charts?The Lyrics
I prefer the original Carmen song. If I remember, the lyrics go something like this:
Driving alone
I think of all the trucks I’ve owned
But when I face the EPA
There is no way
All by myself, don’t wanna be
All by myself anymore
All by myself, don’t wanna be
All by myself anymore
12/21/2023 Cummins – All By Myself
Friday 12/21/2023 was the date of the press articles about the “Record 1.675-billion Dollar Fine.” This go-round Cummins bears the entire financial burden “all by myself.” How will the financials actually play out?
Who knows.
Known Recap.
- 1.675 billion ÷ 960,000 trucks/vehicles = $1745 per engine
- Cummins’ profit for 2022 was 2.2 billion. Let’s assume the same profit level for 2023.
- Cummins’ profit for 2023 was essentially negated by the fine. (Or was it? Who knows how the accounting entries will read?)
- Recalibration of the engine’s ECU will be needed. (You’ll likely use more DEF.)
- Your warranty is still intact.
Items to Ponder
- The $1.675-billion settlement does not have any criminal charges referenced. (Unlike the VW scandal, to me this says “no intent” on the part of Cummins.)
- The “consumer” Ram 2500 and 3500 trucks are a part of this fiasco. The Cab and Chassis trucks (3500/4500/5500) are not mentioned. They fall under a different emissions testing procedure. Could there have been some confusion between Cummins and the government over testing?
- There is no hardware change required to the engine, a reflash of the ECU is needed. The truck will consume more DEF. Was Cummins (and Ram) out ma rketing the “great DEF/miles” advantage over their competitors? No. Heck, if I’m the engineer-dude…I’ll turn up the DEF consumption and I’ll sleep well at night.
- Cummins’ stock price should have taken a beating on this announcement. It hasn’t.
- There is an election coming up in November.
- I’m sure I’ll think of more…
Robert Patton